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Two-thirds Of The Total Ballots Counted In 2016 Have Already Been Released.



With two days to go until Election Day, the early vote has surpassed two-thirds of the total ballots cast in the 2016 election.

More than 93 million ballots have been already been cast nationwide as of Sunday morning, according to the U.S. Elections Project, which translates to 67.7 percent of the total turnout four years ago.

The data shows that Texas and Hawaii have surpassed their total turnouts from 2016, while some key swing states—including North Carolina, Arizona and Florida—are fast approaching it.

Not all states report the party affiliations of those voting early, but 20 including battleground states like Pennsylvania and Florida do.

The data shows that Democrats have voted early in far greater numbers than Republicans.

Of the 93.3 million ballots cast so far, around 20.7 million came from registered Democrats—almost half (45.6 percent) of the total votes cast in states that track party affiliation—with far more opting to return mail ballots than cast their vote early in-person.

Just over 4 million Democrats have cast their ballot early in-person so far, while around 16.6 million have chosen to return mail ballots.

In contrast, around 13.8 million Republicans have already voted—around 4.8 million in-person and just under 9 million by returning mail ballots.

Democrats also have more outstanding mail ballots than Republicans.

Around 8.35 million ballots from Democrat voters have yet to be returned, compared to 5.85 million from Republicans.

On Twitter, Michael McDonald, a political science professor at the University of Florida who runs the project tracking early voting statistics, tweeted on Sunday that there were still several factors to consider.

“How much more mail is yet to be returned? (Keep in mind some states accept ballots postmarked by Election Day),” he wrote. “How much mail is returned, but not entered as processed yet? How much Election Day vote will be cast?”

In another tweet, he added: “A few states are still offering in-person early voting. How much more in-person?”

Early voting was taking place at a “record pace,” he wrote in an analysis of the data last week, where he correctly predicted that some states would soon begin surpassing their total 2016 total vote.

McDonald noted that more Republicans need to vote in-person to “make up ground” on Democratic mail voters, whether early or on Election Day.

“There is still some play left in the in-person early vote, but time is starting to run short such that Republicans will need to rely heavily on Election Day vote, which has traditionally been a strong day of voting for Republicans in recent elections,” he added.

View of the voting information signs at the Brooklyn Museum during early voting for the United States Presidential Election on October 24, in New York City.
Pablo Monsalve/VIEWpress via Getty Images



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